Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $511.89
- Potential payout
- $113.75K
- Potential profit
- $113.24K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$7.81K
Polymarket Trader
Absolute.Degenerate
0xfca282287786e2d7f35139cedb43f19fb3e2a745
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.1K
- Realized PnL
- $4.68K
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $588.79
- Potential payout
- $21.03K
- Potential profit
- $20.44K
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.54K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.25K
- Potential profit
- $15.25K
- User PnL
- -$371.89
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.11K
- Potential profit
- $14.11K
- User PnL
- -$465.17
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.97K
- Potential profit
- $3.97K
- User PnL
- -$246.95
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- User PnL
- -$96.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $823.56
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $766.45
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $455.68
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.36
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.42
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- $95.99
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.63
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.88
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.99
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $22.48
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $3.66
Yes position
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.67
Yes position
Will Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.31
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.44
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.17
No position
Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.31
Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$15.78
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$19.35
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?Yes 7% 868.79 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?Yes 4.7% 1,500 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?Yes 3.8% 7,358.29 shares
- Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?Yes 6% 5,000 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?Yes 6% 3,102.45 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?Yes 2.8% 6,749.74 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?Yes 2.7% 6,805.17 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?Yes 6% 1,553.87 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?Yes 6% 1,556.19 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?Yes 2.2% 8,439.99 shares
- Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?No 0.1% 125.51 shares
- Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?Yes 14.3% 1,509.04 shares