Polymarket Trader

ElBorrachito

0xfcb27c97192e6c24048799c178e1f04597a071a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.34K
Realized PnL: $1.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $530.05
Potential payout: $7.85K
Potential profit: $7.32K
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: $192.39

Yes position

Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $39.29
Potential payout: $7.14K
Potential profit: $7.1K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$10.71

Yes position

Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $19.75
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $992.84
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$10.62

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $439.2
Potential payout: $965.28
Potential profit: $526.08
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $159.27

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $17.28
Potential payout: $652.17
Potential profit: $634.89
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $2.28

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $295.49
Potential payout: $532.41
Potential profit: $236.92
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$103.82

Under position

Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.6
Potential profit: $56.6
User PnL: -$30

Under position

Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.08
Potential profit: $52.08
User PnL: -$25

Senegal position

Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.78
Potential profit: $48.78
User PnL: -$20

Over position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.9
Potential profit: $33.9
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.35

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.13

Yes position

Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.05

No position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.53

Over position

Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.35

Under position

Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Switzerland position

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.67

Curaçao position

Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.79

Yes position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.87

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.82

Over position

Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.64

Under position

England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.45

Yes position

Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Canada position

Spread: Canada (-1.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.38

Over position

England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.13

Over position

Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

No position

Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.85

Under position

England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.65

Over position

West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.95

Over position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.15

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.59

No position

England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.31

United States position

Spread: United States (-1.5)

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score AND Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?

40.6% 59.82 shares
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5

Over 59% 33.9 shares
Spread: United States (-1.5)

United States 49% 40.82 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 72% 55.56 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 1.5

Under 53% 56.6 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

Under 48% 52.08 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Senegal 41% 48.78 shares
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 1.5

Over 64% 78.13 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 44% 56.82 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 0.5

Over 71% 42.25 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

Over 31% 87.1 shares
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goals

Yes 2.3% 344.82 shares