Polymarket Trader

elmarh

@cwapzero

0xfcbeff0cc68f1f304c1b1ed496344433f504b37c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $48.37
Realized PnL: $2.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $8.29
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $254.87
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $8.67
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $147.58
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $9.37
Potential payout: $140.85
Potential profit: $131.48
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.85
Potential profit: $103.85
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $22.03
Potential payout: $86.39
Potential profit: $64.36
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $7.33

Gen.G Esports position

Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $37.32
Potential profit: $37.3
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$9.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.17
Potential profit: $29.17
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $529.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $347.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.78

NRG position

Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $88.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.31

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.89

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 17% 86.39 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.8% 263.16 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.4% 156.25 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.1% 140.85 shares
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 52% 103.85 shares
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in June 2026?

Yes 16.1% 37.31 shares
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in June 2026?

Yes 2.2% 311.52 shares
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in June 2026?

Yes 7.8% 311.52 shares
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in June 2026?

Yes 13% 202.95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in June 2026?

Yes 13.4% 202.95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 28.63 shares