Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $168.76
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$237.24
Polymarket Trader
0xfCDbA2F4b8FCA4E899Bb97A36F96061104E13CB5-1740290694075
0xfcdba2f4b8fca4e899bb97a36f96061104e13cb5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $168.76
- Realized PnL
- -$828.8
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- User PnL
- -$573
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $511.68
- Potential profit
- $511.68
- User PnL
- -$27
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.69
- Potential profit
- $131.69
- User PnL
- -$77.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.08
No position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.62
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96
Yes position
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.29
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.02
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$81.84
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$105.32
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$875.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 15.6% 2,596.34 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 13% 650 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 38% 2,157.89 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 14% 6,199.91 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes 5.3% 511.68 shares
- TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?Yes 49% 48.38 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes 2.7% 105.69 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes 15.8% 3,766.24 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 36% 555.56 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes 4.4% 1,140.16 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes 5.6% 3,576.82 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes 5.2% 577.54 shares