No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Current value
- $79.35K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $20.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $29.35K
Polymarket Trader
Roflan-ludoman
@Roflan_ludoman
0xfcf2378f20cf408d077c21e731272f21cccea469
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $131.39K
- Realized PnL
- $751.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $20.65K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $79.35K
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$29.35K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.49K
- Potential profit
- $40.49K
- User PnL
- -$23.55K
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.44K
- Potential profit
- $32.44K
- User PnL
- -$16.18K
No position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.28K
- Potential profit
- $26.28K
- User PnL
- -$6.55K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.63K
- Potential profit
- $21.63K
- User PnL
- -$11.6K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.14K
- Potential profit
- $20.14K
- User PnL
- -$15.36K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.91K
- Potential profit
- $19.91K
- User PnL
- -$2.09K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.67K
- Potential profit
- $17.67K
- User PnL
- -$977.99
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.51K
- Potential profit
- $16.51K
- User PnL
- -$837.06
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.08K
- Potential profit
- $14.08K
- User PnL
- -$1.71K
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.04K
- Potential profit
- $14.04K
- User PnL
- -$4.95K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.8%
- Current value
- $10.25K
- Potential payout
- $12.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $3.5K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $536.22
- Potential payout
- $12.05K
- Potential profit
- $11.51K
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$5.67K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.8K
- Potential payout
- $11.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.32K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.9K
- Potential profit
- $11.9K
- User PnL
- -$1.01K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.23K
- Potential profit
- $11.23K
- User PnL
- -$7.72K
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.34K
- Potential profit
- $10.34K
- User PnL
- -$3.69K
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $9.81K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $195
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $185.01
No position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.64K
- Potential profit
- $9.64K
- User PnL
- -$1.65K
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.52K
- Potential profit
- $9.52K
- User PnL
- -$1.55K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.42K
- Potential profit
- $9.42K
- User PnL
- -$768.12
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.34K
- Potential profit
- $9.34K
- User PnL
- -$3.44K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.33K
- Potential profit
- $9.33K
- User PnL
- -$1.83K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.26K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.43K
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.7K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.78K
Yes position
No airdrop in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.13K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.63K
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.88K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.79K
No position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.63K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.45K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.22K
Yes position
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.61K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.45K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.47K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.08K
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.31K
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.98K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.36K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.21K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.86K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.43K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17K
Yes position
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.23K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.33K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 27.2% 482.16 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 28% 9.43 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 26.9% 576.78 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 25.2% 323.1 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 25% 1,046.72 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 35.7% 609.78 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 64.3% 258 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 19% 5.53 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 66% 5 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 19% 134.84 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 64% 29 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 17.3% 1,105.3 shares