Polymarket Trader

JP5

0xfcf2b76079ad4e08ce3d5c0b1656c8e6d1029ada

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $560.23
Realized PnL: $1.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.96K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $992.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $529.27
Potential profit: $529.27
User PnL: -$14.06

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $10.25
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $489.74
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $13.75
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $486.23
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $4.25

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $4.14
Potential payout: $435.46
Potential profit: $431.33
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$3.27

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 91.8%
Current value: $191.23
Potential payout: $208.42
Potential profit: $17.19
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $6.42

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205.26
Potential profit: $205.26
User PnL: -$61

Yes position

Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.18
Potential profit: $201.18
User PnL: -$34.18

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $146.39
Potential payout: $171.22
Potential profit: $24.83
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $6.49

Yes position

Will Trump attend his son's wedding?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.92
Potential profit: $157.92
User PnL: -$35.68

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $31.5
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $118.5
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$16.5

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $138.9
Multiplier: 13.51x
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.65
Potential profit: $116.65
User PnL: -$33.41

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $104.96
Potential payout: $109.85
Potential profit: $4.89
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $13.79

Yes position

Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.98
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.61
Potential profit: $41.61
User PnL: -$24.55

Yes position

Will Portugal be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $37.08
Potential profit: $35.17
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.81
Potential profit: $33.81
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.47
Potential profit: $5.47
User PnL: -$3.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425.72

Yes position

Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.8

Yes position

Minnesota shooting suspect Vance Boelter captured by Sunday?

Ends Jun 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.41

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: November

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.4

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.81

Yes position

U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.24

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.49

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.06

Yes position

Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.5

Yes position

Will Mike Waltz receive fewer than 49 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.89

Yes position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.24

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.42

Yes position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.47

Yes position

Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.8

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.16

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

Yes position

Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.8

Yes position

Will Obama endorse Kamala by tomorrow?

Ends Jul 26, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

Chelsea position

FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.15

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.5

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.2

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.96

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 23% 25 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 78% 29.49 shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Yes 9% 150 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

No 81% 50 shares
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Yes 94.8% 55 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

No 82% 121.22 shares
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.8% 5,000 shares
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1% 500 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 51% 9.8 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 47% 10.64 shares
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Yes 4.2% 23.81 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 63% 40.44 shares