Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
flamboyantDeniro
0xfd09f40dbdb5334700202f7144fd1a7068fffe16
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.5
- Realized PnL
- -$3.64K
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $24.83
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$11.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.33
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Down position
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.77K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Yes 56% 7,142.86 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?No 18.2% 6,527.75 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?No 82% 3,636.15 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?No 76% 6,527.75 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Yes 86% 5,786.74 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 91% 5,494.51 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 30% 66.67 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?Yes 82% 28.16 shares
- Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?No 99.7% 10.41 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?Yes 71% 28.17 shares
- Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes 60% 33.33 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 20.2% 99.18 shares