Polymarket Trader

Utoya

0xfd0e12e8e6f33859a247c4f764250ada6f5fd918

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.47K
Realized PnL: $4.71K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

NATO article 5 before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $2.79K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $210
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $220

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $2.5K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $3.75
User PnL: $376.25

No position

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $151.5
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $12.8

No position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $102
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $56

No position

Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $300.72
Potential payout: $429.59
Potential profit: $128.88
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $19.55

Over position

World Cup: Total Tournament Goals O/U 264.5

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $235.22
Potential payout: $242.75
Potential profit: $7.53
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $16.16

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 88.1%
Current value: $176.07
Potential payout: $199.97
Potential profit: $23.9
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.77

No position

Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89.6%
Current value: $8.96
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02K

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $470

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

Yes position

Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.14

No position

Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

No position

Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.76

Yes position

Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.35

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.38

Yes position

Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$31.5

Yes position

Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$137.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

No 86.3% 103.93 shares
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

No 88.5% 10 shares
World Cup: Total Tournament Goals O/U 264.5

Over 91% 100.99 shares
World Cup: Total Tournament Goals O/U 264.5

Over 89.9% 110.09 shares
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

No 65% 20 shares
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

No 64.5% 40 shares
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

No 65% 100 shares
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

No 66% 20 shares
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

No 66% 20 shares
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

No 66% 20 shares
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

No 66% 40 shares
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

No 64.7% 60 shares