Polymarket Trader

wuerjiu

@Reallyworldcoin

0xfd166a584511e587678d9c97831f3cb8a5be0be8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.29K
Realized PnL: $9.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $3.8K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $204
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $276

Yes position

Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $806.14
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $2.62K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$51.46

Yes position

Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $387.34
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$43.04

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $925.99
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $75.08
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $5

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $929.24
Potential profit: $929.24
User PnL: -$890

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $119.19
Potential payout: $771.43
Potential profit: $652.24
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: -$9.64

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $198.06
Potential payout: $243.05
Potential profit: $44.99
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $17.2

No position

Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.6
Potential profit: $209.6
User PnL: -$148.87

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $27.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $172.7
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$135

Thomson position

UFC Fight Night: Brito vs. Thomson (Featherweight, Prelims)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$54.4

Maycee Barber position

UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.73
Potential profit: $158.73
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156
Potential profit: $156
User PnL: -$88.92

Todorović position

Reese vs. Todorović

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$54

Klein position

Gamrot vs. Klein

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$63

Lopes position

Jacoby vs. Lopes

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $149.99
User PnL: -$55.5

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Royval position

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $19.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $80.25
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $1.35

Bukauskas position

UFC 324: Krylov vs. Bukauskas (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$57

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $12.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $87.45
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.15
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $0.45

Gibson Jr. position

UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Gibson Jr. (Catchweight, Prelims)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$40

Pinheiro position

Pennington vs. Pinheiro

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81K

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

No position

Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $786.88

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $719.13

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $655.52

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $585.82

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $467.99

Yes position

Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405.66

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $403.25

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $336

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.3

KT Rolster position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.91

Magic position

Magic vs. Hornets

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.26

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240

No position

SBF released from custody in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.3

T1 position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $173.63

Maddalena position

Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.64

de Ridder position

de Ridder vs. Nickal

Ends May 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.92

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $150.77

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.42

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 30,000 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 10,000 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 10,000 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.3% 100 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.4% 100 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 97.7% 102.3 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 97.8% 100 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 69% 500 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 49% 500 shares
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 16% 4,166.66 shares
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 24% 4,166.67 shares