Polymarket Trader

AML

0xfd22b8843ae03a33a8a4c5e39ef1e5ff33ebad91

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $795.6K
Realized PnL: -$897.6K
Win rate: 38.2%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 34
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $795.6K
Potential payout: $800K
Potential profit: $4.4K
User PnL: $214.71K

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $408.23K
Potential profit: $408.23K
User PnL: -$128.22K

Michael Chandler position

UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.56K
Potential profit: $116.56K
User PnL: -$23.15K

Yes position

Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$999.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.99K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.53K

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.79K

Vicente Luque position

UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35K

Rountree Jr. position

UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.4K

Fiziev position

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Bahamondes

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.81K

Yes position

Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.63K

Josh Hokit position

UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.42K

Pacers position

Thunder vs. Pacers

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15K

No position

Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.56K

Tatiana Suarez position

UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49K

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.08K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $15.07

Over position

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Ciryl Gane position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Utah position

Utah vs. Ducks

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$522.69

No position

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$999.98

Patricio Pitbull position

UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.65K

Johnny Walker position

UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.95K

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Thunder

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.7K

Nate Landwehr position

UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.8K

Randy Brown position

UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10K

Jirí Procházka position

UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20K

No position

Iran strike on Israel by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24.36K

Dubois position

Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25.74K

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$28.6K

No position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$34.86K

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50.14K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$71.84K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100.5K

Du Plessis position

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200.11K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$873.66K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 21% 100,000 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 21% 150,000 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 21% 100,000 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 20.8% 150,000 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ciryl Gane 50% 50,000 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Michael Chandler 20% 83,112.25 shares
O/U 1.5 Rounds

Over 49% 2,970.18 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Michael Chandler 19% 3,195.59 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 21.7% 115,441.05 shares
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?

Yes 2% 3,698.68 shares
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

No 0.2% 1,594.24 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 77% 93.59 shares