Polymarket Trader

0xfd28D63696ed7e328578006285270EcBc80896D8-1782816558881

0xfd28d63696ed7e328578006285270ecbc80896d8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $184.51
Realized PnL: -$0.71
Win rate: 86.7%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $51.74
Potential payout: $6.47K
Potential profit: $6.42K
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$68.21

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $128.93
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 11.90x
User PnL: $69.2

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 37.2%
Current value: $3.84
Potential payout: $10.34
Potential profit: $6.5
Multiplier: 2.69x
User PnL: -$1.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 1.9% 5,011.82 shares
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 1.5% 66.67 shares
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 1.8% 1,388.89 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 4% 1,377.33 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 3.2% 157.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Up 70% 5.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Down 99% 4.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Down 93% 4.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Up 58% 8.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Up 67% 7.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Up 66% 7.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Up 67% 7.46 shares