Polymarket Trader

MTD

0xfd39b573bc2aa618c9bc226624e985133c1d109d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.39K
Realized PnL: $80.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $1.91K
Potential payout: $31.5K
Potential profit: $29.59K
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $892

Yes position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $653.3
Potential payout: $14.52K
Potential profit: $13.86K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$7.77K

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $689.45
Potential payout: $11.99K
Potential profit: $11.3K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$2.56K

Yes position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $3.94K
Potential payout: $7.65K
Potential profit: $3.71K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$1.62K

Yes position

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$557.53

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $26.7
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $33.3
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.16
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.41K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.55K

Michigan Wolverines position

Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.31K

Arizona Wildcats position

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.52K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91K

Michigan Wolverines position

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33K

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03K

Yes position

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92K

Yes position

Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13K

No position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94K

Yes position

Will Biden drop out on July 21?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92K

Purdue Boilermakers position

Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62K

Yes position

James Comey arrested by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Biden drops out before the Democratic convention?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $878.73

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $810

Alabama Crimson Tide position

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $720.51

Michigan Wolverines position

Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $670.85

Duke Blue Devils position

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $582.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 10 shares
Kash Patel out by December 31?

Yes 49% 30 shares
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes 41% 15 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 75% 19.6 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 51% 19.61 shares
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Hurricanes 62% 71.69 shares
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Hurricanes 53% 71.7 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 61% 60 shares
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces

Las Vegas Aces 82% 10 shares
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Hurricanes 1% 100 shares
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Hurricanes 51% 100 shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 3.2% 31,500.46 shares