Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $238.88
- Potential payout
- $735
- Potential profit
- $496.13
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$33.07
Polymarket Trader
PatrickMoore4409
0xfd411f835cd21fe64537be2e6a257d500ee13796
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $790.24
- Realized PnL
- $8.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $261.24
- Potential payout
- $622
- Potential profit
- $360.76
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $8.71
No position
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $287.46
- Potential payout
- $301
- Potential profit
- $13.55
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $19.56
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.97
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Yes position
Rippling IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Tulane Green Wave position
Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers (W)
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- $618.24
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $480.69
No position
Will "Jamie" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.7
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $441.78
No position
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $434.93
Y
Yes position
Will "Flushed out" or "Flush out" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $434.89
No position
Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.22
Yes position
Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.22
No position
Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.54
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.36
Yes position
Will Trump say "Military" or "Troops" during Taoiseach events?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.1
Yes position
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 58%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $323.06
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.22
Yes position
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $255.11
Yes position
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $231.55
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.78
Yes position
Will Trump say "Medal of Honor" this week? (March 22)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.08
Over position
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.51
No position
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.14
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.86
Eureka Red Devils position
Eureka Red Devils vs. Indiana State Sycamores (W)
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $188.48
Yes position
Will Dundee FC win on 2026-02-04?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.7
Yes position
Will Neil Gorsuch attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $165.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?No 0.4% 110 shares
- Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?No 0.4% 228 shares
- Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?No 0.4% 340 shares
- Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?No 0.4% 539 shares
- Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?No 0.4% 314 shares
- Will América de Cali win on 2026-02-08?No 60.9% 709 shares
- Will América de Cali win on 2026-02-08?No 60.9% 713 shares
- Will América de Cali win on 2026-02-08?No 86.9% 1,422 shares
- Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?No 35% 561 shares
- Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?No 57% 201 shares
- Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?No 58% 406 shares
- Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?No 58% 160 shares