No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $914.81
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $676.17
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $89.5
Polymarket Trader
hommage
0xfd473ba8e419e02c1d5f3a83a69a46482516000f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.48K
- Realized PnL
- $1.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $637.82
- Potential profit
- $637.82
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $214.41
- Potential payout
- $283.99
- Potential profit
- $69.58
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $39.64
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $205.21
- Potential payout
- $240.01
- Potential profit
- $34.8
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.1
- Potential profit
- $122.1
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $43
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $57
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $64.05
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $5.95
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.66
- Potential profit
- $56.66
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$45.65
No position
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $41.72
- Potential payout
- $47.68
- Potential profit
- $5.96
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$15.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.92
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.3
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.53
No position
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 10+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.59
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.66
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.48
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.34
No position
Will Russia win Intervision 2025?
Ends Sep 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.96
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.98
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $29.63
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.8
Yes position
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.1
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.86
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.75
Yes position
Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.6
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $20.29
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.8
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.69
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 19?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.7
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.4
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.8
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 43% 100 shares
- Russia coup attempt in 2026?No 88% 33.93 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 86% 30 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 99.8% 0.14 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 62% 126.99 shares
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No 93% 97.13 shares
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No 93.1% 5 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 62% 67 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 89% 47 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 91% 199.99 shares
- Russia coup attempt in 2026?No 91% 46.25 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 50% 105 shares