Yes position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $14.17
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Polymarket Trader
Compound-57
0xfd47e2f30ac97571e6e68f51bf4531b108af805a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.06K
- Realized PnL
- $2.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $332.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $332.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $332.83
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $229.9
- Potential payout
- $235.43
- Potential profit
- $5.53
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $27.9
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.46
- Potential profit
- $217.46
- User PnL
- -$206
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $211.11
- Potential profit
- $210.16
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $8.24
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $176.94
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
No position
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $165.71
- Potential payout
- $168.83
- Potential profit
- $3.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $15.71
Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.25
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $134.61
- Potential payout
- $136.79
- Potential profit
- $2.19
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $6.61
No position
Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $124.6
- Potential payout
- $128.45
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $14.6
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $103.17
- Potential payout
- $103.42
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- User PnL
- $3.17
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.14
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.77
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $2.46
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $80.88
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $1.46
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $65.57
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $63.09
- Potential payout
- $64.06
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $61.34
- Potential payout
- $62.37
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $44.41
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $14.41
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$5.59
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $54.69
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $53.12
- Potential payout
- $54.29
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $50.27
- Potential payout
- $53.19
- Potential profit
- $2.93
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $452.42
Yes position
Will Seán Kyne win the 2026 Galway West by-election?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.71
Yes position
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.49
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.92
Yes position
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.59
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.59
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $128.95
Yes position
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.1
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.55
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.01
Yes position
Will Momentum win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.72
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.73
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.79
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.81
No position
Will Velichie (Velichie) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.5
No position
Will Shafiqur Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the Parliamentary election?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.13
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.5
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.95
No position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.62
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.1
Yes position
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.39
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.26
No position
Will Marco Rubio attend the G7 Summit?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.66
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes 89.6% 22.32 shares
- Will Germany go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes 0.1% 26.66 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?No 95.8% 26.1 shares
- US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?No 90.5% 11.04 shares
- Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?No 97.7% 46.08 shares
- Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31?No 98.6% 140.43 shares
- Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?No 99.8% 202.04 shares
- Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?No 95% 21.05 shares
- Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?No 95% 21.05 shares
- Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes 92% 21.74 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 98.4% 25.41 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Yes 15% 33.33 shares