No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $10.6
- Potential payout
- $92.62
- Potential profit
- $82.01
- Multiplier
- 8.73x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Polymarket Trader
cd30gfu530p0
0xfd5a25def796ca377e5b22fb7b60e3007d40aa7a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $59.01
- Realized PnL
- $270.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $10.25
- Potential payout
- $31.52
- Potential profit
- $21.28
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $3.63
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $11.95
- Potential payout
- $25.17
- Potential profit
- $13.21
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$8.73
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $10.77
- Potential profit
- $5.87
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $7.77
- Potential profit
- $4.9
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $3.7
- Potential payout
- $6.91
- Potential profit
- $3.21
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $3.06
- Potential payout
- $4.41
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $2.46
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $3.29
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $2.26
- Potential payout
- $2.69
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $2.47
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $2.19
- Potential payout
- $2.27
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Trump signs housing bill by end of July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $1.34
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.6
No position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.26
B8 position
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.94
BetBoom Team position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.05
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.08
No position
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.3
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.03
Monte position
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.56
Dragon Ranger Gaming position
Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5)
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.7
Global Esports position
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4
G2 position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.59
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.93
FULL SENSE position
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs FULL SENSE (+1.5)
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.92
9z position
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.01
Global Esports position
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.08
Legacy position
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39
B8 position
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96
PARIVISION position
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Under position
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 5.5
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
Galions position
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
XLG Gaming position
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
San Diego Padres position
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
G2 NORD position
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 46% 1.15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 46% 0.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 46% 22.26 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 47% 11.74 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 48% 10.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 62% 5.36 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 64% 0.88 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 65% 0.1 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 65% 0.02 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 54% 6.91 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?Yes 90% 1.48 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 9% 0.15 shares