57dfgfdg

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $506.76
Potential profit: $506.76
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $493.12
Potential profit: $493.12
User PnL: -$1.48

Yes position

Will Eric Robinson lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in points?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $480.7
Potential profit: $480.7
User PnL: -$1.59

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $403.86
Potential profit: $402.44
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 25, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $10.92
Potential payout: $383.16
Potential profit: $372.24
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $7.69

Yes position

Will Rasmus Andersson lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in points?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225
Potential profit: $225
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $167.69
Potential profit: $167.02
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Azamat Murzakanov be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $137.29
Potential profit: $137.22
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 325000 and 350000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $124.28
Potential profit: $123.16
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Tereza Valentova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $111.43
Potential profit: $110.98
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $96.25
Potential profit: $95.63
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Colton Sissons lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in points?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.5
Potential profit: $90.5
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will Australia win the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $86.24
Potential profit: $84.82
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.41
Potential profit: $85.41
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $66.39
Potential profit: $65.29
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $63.05
Potential profit: $62.7
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Brayden McNabb lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in points?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $7.86
Potential payout: $58
Potential profit: $50.14
Multiplier: 7.38x
User PnL: $5.97

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in June 2026?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $53.49
Potential profit: $52.42
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Republicanos (REPUBLICANOS) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $49.17
Potential profit: $49.1
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $42.9
Potential profit: $41.36
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $2.24
Potential payout: $42.66
Potential profit: $40.42
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $42.57
Potential profit: $41.87
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $42.4
Potential profit: $42.34
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Implied probability: 81%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $2.93

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $2.67

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $1.66

No position

Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will "GOAT" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in June?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.9%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will New Zealand be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Warsh say "Rate" or "Cut" during June Press Conference?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?

Implied probability: 40.5%
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Steve Ballmer be 3rd richest person on December 31?

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Amanda Burrows win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

Ends Oct 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12.1%
Multiplier: 8.30x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 16?