AntonDor

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $78.52
Potential payout: $157.04K
Potential profit: $156.96K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$133.01

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $112.5
Potential payout: $75K
Potential profit: $74.89K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $12.53

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.95K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $155
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.85K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $164.5
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $6.84K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $59.5

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $32.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.97K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.56K
Potential profit: $3.56K
User PnL: -$47.64

Yes position

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$52.5

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.75K
Potential profit: $2.75K
User PnL: -$238.67

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $16.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.48K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $53
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $44
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.96K
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $6.6
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$9.59

Yes position

Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $123.05
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $946.95
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $11.06

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $81.64
Potential payout: $709.92
Potential profit: $628.28
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$40.74

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $578.9
Potential payout: $661.6
Potential profit: $82.7
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $37.45

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $29.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $470.75
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $80.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $419.75
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$46

Yes position

Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $479.99
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $62.5
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $437.49
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450.01
Potential profit: $450.01
User PnL: -$216.45

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $448.49
Potential profit: $448.49
User PnL: -$92.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $879.55

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $615.21

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $546.5

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $377.2

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.7

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $177.85

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.85

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.73

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.99

Yes position

Will Nik Airball win at Hustler Casino on Friday?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.4

Nuggets position

NBA Playoffs: Nuggets vs. Clippers (To Advance)

Ends May 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.99

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.49

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.8

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76

Yes position

Will Everton win on 2025-04-12?

Ends Apr 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.99

Detroit Tigers position

Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees

Ends Apr 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.9

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?