cryptotradernpc

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $492.28
Potential payout: $660.78
Potential profit: $168.5
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$22.26

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $352.08
Potential payout: $567.88
Potential profit: $215.79
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$31.64

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $442.48
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $57.5
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $375.93
Potential payout: $381.27
Potential profit: $5.34
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $15.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258.82
Potential profit: $258.82
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $109
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $91
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $163.64
Potential payout: $173.99
Potential profit: $10.35
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $134.96
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $5.04
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $7.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.09
Potential profit: $134.09
User PnL: -$26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.55
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$9.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$7.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 85.3%
Current value: $41.82
Potential payout: $49.06
Potential profit: $7.24
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$4.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.54
Potential profit: $46.54
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.99
Potential profit: $44.99
User PnL: -$40.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $28.02
Potential payout: $42.45
Potential profit: $14.43
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $37.22
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $2.78
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $16.19
Potential payout: $34.09
Potential profit: $17.9
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $1.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C or higher on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $33.06
Potential payout: $33.11
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $28.76
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $28.67
Potential payout: $29.94
Potential profit: $1.27
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $27.35
Potential payout: $27.56
Potential profit: $0.21
User PnL: $2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.99

No position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.87

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or higher on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 68°F or higher on February 18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 64°F or higher on February 16?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or higher on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C or below on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.45

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 8AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET