Y
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $58
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $142
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
theblackshirtg
0xfd8de8a44c522daa9c2b55b25249eb374db542d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $58
- Realized PnL
- -$107.01
- Win rate
- 17.6%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.78
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.06
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.7
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.68
Under position
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.18
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$8.28
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.34
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$10.86
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39.5
No position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40.7
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$57.04
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$74.96
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$77.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 30% 200 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 12% 409.52 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?Yes 2.1% 20 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 3.2% 322.29 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 4% 39 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 0.8% 903.99 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 1% 904 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 15% 266.67 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 14% 142.86 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 5.5% 361.3 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?Yes 7.8% 20 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 1.4% 114.55 shares