oleksiyz

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $115.97
Potential payout: $140.57
Potential profit: $24.6
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $115.5
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $24.5
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $99.4
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $40.6
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$7.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $81.85
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $8.14
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $8.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $85.45
Potential payout: $89.99
Potential profit: $4.54
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $11.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.76
Potential profit: $81.76
User PnL: -$67.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $63.8
Potential payout: $75.5
Potential profit: $11.7
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $3.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $59.91
Potential payout: $70.89
Potential profit: $10.99
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $52.55
Potential payout: $70.53
Potential profit: $17.99
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$2.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $52.16
Potential payout: $70.48
Potential profit: $18.33
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$4.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $54.18
Potential payout: $70.37
Potential profit: $16.18
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C or higher on June 20?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $64.36
Potential payout: $70.34
Potential profit: $5.98
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $6.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $62.92
Potential payout: $70.3
Potential profit: $7.38
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $6.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $53.56
Potential payout: $70.01
Potential profit: $16.45
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$2.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $49.35
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $20.65
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$8.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 81.9%
Current value: $57.32
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $12.68
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $51.8
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $18.2
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$5.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $65.45
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $4.55
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $8.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $57.04
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $12.96
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on June 20?

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $67.62
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $2.38
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $10.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $69.97
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $12.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 89.2%
Current value: $62.44
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $7.56
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $5.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $54.25
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $15.75
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$3.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $57.75
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $12.25
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 82.4%
Current value: $57.65
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $12.35
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $51.8
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $18.2
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$5.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $54.25
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $15.75
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$3.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $53.55
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $16.45
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $57.04
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $12.96
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $57.4
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $12.6
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $60.55
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $9.45
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $3.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $59.5
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $55.3
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $14.7
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$2.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $54.24
Potential payout: $69.99
Potential profit: $15.75
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$3.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $57.39
Potential payout: $69.99
Potential profit: $12.6
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $6.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $60.54
Potential payout: $69.99
Potential profit: $9.45
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $3.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $66.14
Potential payout: $69.99
Potential profit: $3.85
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $12.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $54.93
Potential payout: $69.98
Potential profit: $15.05
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $3.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $51.43
Potential payout: $69.98
Potential profit: $18.54
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$5.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 82.2%
Current value: $57.49
Potential payout: $69.94
Potential profit: $12.45
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $58.29
Potential payout: $68.98
Potential profit: $10.69
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $3.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $54.98
Potential payout: $59.12
Potential profit: $4.14
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $6.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $47.35
Potential payout: $57.39
Potential profit: $10.04
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $41.74
Potential payout: $53.86
Potential profit: $12.12
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $50.31
Potential payout: $50.33
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $9.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $41.55
Potential payout: $49.76
Potential profit: $8.21
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $2.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $38.29
Potential payout: $44.79
Potential profit: $6.49
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $37.09
Potential payout: $44.42
Potential profit: $7.33
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $28.73
Potential payout: $31.4
Potential profit: $2.67
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $20.58
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $7.42
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C or below on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C or higher on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 36°F or higher on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 68°F or higher on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on May 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or higher on May 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 83°F or below on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 88°F or higher on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C or higher on May 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C or below on March 18?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or higher on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C or below on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 16?