No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.32K
- Potential profit
- $57.32K
- User PnL
- -$1.45K
Polymarket Trader
bitdady
0xfd8f5bba5b09d286b6d1db35cda8249bdd356f11
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.79K
- Realized PnL
- $39.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.1%
- Current value
- $1.62K
- Potential payout
- $3.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.23K
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $9.34
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $537.62
- Potential payout
- $560.6
- Potential profit
- $22.98
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.75
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $443.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $56.25
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $25.65
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $143.79
- Potential payout
- $479.31
- Potential profit
- $335.52
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$54.19
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.3%
- Current value
- $37.12
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $12.87
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.7
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$2.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11K
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- $6.27K
No position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34K
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32K
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $895.62
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $848.36
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $800.78
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580.77
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440.81
No position
Will a candidate win the 2026 Colombian presidential election in the first round?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440.75
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $434.24
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.9
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $421.04
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.15
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.25
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.95
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.4%
- Multiplier
- 4.47x
- User PnL
- $321.24
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 70.4% 41.82 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 35.2% 100 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 42% 28.6 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 33% 190 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 33.2% 317.96 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 84.7% 300 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 99.4% 1,000 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 45.1% 500 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 42% 100 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 46% 500 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 41% 15.11 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 18.5% 54.16 shares