Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.44
- Potential profit
- $42.44
- User PnL
- -$14
Polymarket Trader
0xfd92...9d11
0xfd9288e536caeec2d3ec0c785b8a280f7d6c9d11
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$2.52
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
XRP Up or Down on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 23.9% 16.74 shares
- Will the US strike Somalia next?No 0.6% 166.67 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No 5.4% 37.03 shares
- Will the US strike Somalia next?No 7.2% 41.67 shares
- Will the US strike Somalia next?No 7.1% 14.17 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 38.9% 25.71 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No 84.6% 10 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No 2.7% 37.04 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No 60% 10 shares
- Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 75% 6.67 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 96.4% 3.37 shares
- Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes 0.5% 222.03 shares