Polymarket Trader

wvsfsafasd

0xfd9cb952ff55f7aa1bb0b83be377755f1edabe4d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $473.14
Realized PnL: $1.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump praise Allah by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.72K
Potential profit: $3.72K
User PnL: -$496.64

No position

Will John Peterson be the Republican nominee for SC-06?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$73.88

Yes position

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $632
Potential profit: $632
User PnL: -$188.68

No position

Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Donald Trump dance on May 21, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333
Potential profit: $333
User PnL: -$9.99

Yes position

Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $67.58
Potential payout: $159
Potential profit: $91.43
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $8.75

No position

Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $72.8
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $67.2
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $29.4

Yes position

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $41.48
Potential payout: $136
Potential profit: $94.52
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $11.56

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.09
Potential profit: $122.09
User PnL: -$43.95

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $33.8
Potential payout: $120.71
Potential profit: $86.91
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $21.73

No position

Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.38
Potential profit: $115.38
User PnL: -$15.38

No position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.01
Potential profit: $112.01
User PnL: -$51.52

No position

U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108
Potential profit: $108
User PnL: -$33.66

No position

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $56.71
Potential payout: $107
Potential profit: $50.29
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $12.84

No position

Major US official out by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$39.9

No position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $100.01
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $70.43

Yes position

Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

Ends Oct 17, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $47.98
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $47.03
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $27.08

No position

Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93
Potential profit: $93
User PnL: -$14.88

Yes position

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $29.05
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $40.95
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $12.25

No position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$33

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $51
User PnL: -$26.52

No position

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $23.74
Potential payout: $37.67
Potential profit: $13.94
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $9.82

No position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $36
User PnL: -$12.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $240.94

No position

Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $200.17

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.99

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.99

No position

Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.01

No position

Will AD+PD win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.6

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.13

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.2

No position

Will Liberal Alliance be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.18

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.32

Yes position

Will Giovanni Legnini win the 2026 Chieti mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.56

Yes position

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.83

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.61

Yes position

Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.12

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 36%
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $48.38

No position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $46.18

No position

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.65

No position

Will Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.88

Yes position

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $33.58

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.48

No position

Spain snap election called in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $31.25

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.62

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.42

No position

Will Cristiano Sicari win the 2026 Chieti mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

No 80% 45.78 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Yes 24% 62.11 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?

No 84.1% 310.22 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 51.4% 23 shares
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (6/1-6/7)

No 99.6% 8.43 shares
Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?

Yes 66% 58 shares
Will Michael Tubbs win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?

No 99.8% 1.28 shares
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

No 49% 15.13 shares
Blue wave in 2026?

Yes 65% 45 shares
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

Yes 33.2% 200 shares
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?

Yes 79% 66 shares
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No 83% 55 shares