Polymarket Trader

0xfDAdf189EBfAc0C3ECE23A2b6dAd9723bc5FBc7B-1772946729552

0xfdadf189ebfac0c3ece23a2b6dad9723bc5fbc7b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.65
Realized PnL: $27.1
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Toyota" this week? (March 8)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.8
Potential profit: $39.8
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.97
Potential profit: $37.97
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.4
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

McDonald's CEO out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.69
Potential profit: $4.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $1.56
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $1.54
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $1.26
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.84

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.32

Yes position

Will Mercedes double podium at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 20% 25 shares
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 19% 26.32 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 89.8% 11.14 shares
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Yes 79% 25.32 shares
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Yes 75% 6.67 shares
Will Mercedes double podium at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix?

Yes 72% 6.94 shares
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Yes 79% 12.66 shares
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?

No 36% 2.78 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 77.6% 1.29 shares
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Yes 26% 3.85 shares
McDonald's CEO out by June 30?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Yes 65% 1.54 shares