Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.66K
- Potential profit
- $30.66K
- User PnL
- -$294.91
Polymarket Trader
0xFDb16E633137c4621cd3b18b4035579706AcD265-1762944975036
0xfdb16e633137c4621cd3b18b4035579706acd265
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $513.05
- Realized PnL
- $655.94
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.67K
- Potential profit
- $11.67K
- User PnL
- -$39.99
Yes position
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 27.1%
- Current value
- $270.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $729.5
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $140.5
Yes position
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $89.94
- Potential payout
- $719.5
- Potential profit
- $629.56
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$34.57
Yes position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $595.37
- Potential profit
- $595.37
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $65
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $435
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$85
Yes position
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $75
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $424.99
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $404.93
- Potential profit
- $404.93
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will NewJeans perform again in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280.39
- Potential profit
- $280.39
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
North Korea missile launch by November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $167.5
- Potential profit
- $167.5
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.43
- Potential profit
- $130.43
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.8%
- Current value
- $12.61
- Potential payout
- $71.05
- Potential profit
- $58.44
- Multiplier
- 5.63x
- User PnL
- $9.06
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.65
- Potential profit
- $48.65
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.63
- Potential profit
- $18.63
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.52
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.53
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.02
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.2
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.58
Yes position
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.3% 6,666.67 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.4% 5,000 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETUp 5% 18.63 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 24.7% 404.93 shares
- Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 0.1% 422.93 shares
- Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 85.5% 776.07 shares
- Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 1.3% 761.71 shares
- Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 5.9% 422.93 shares
- Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 6.6% 761.71 shares
- Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 26% 769.23 shares
- Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 25% 6.84 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No 30% 192.3 shares