Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61
- Potential profit
- $61
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Polymarket Trader
HodgepodgeTwinkle
0xfdb39f61cb8dfdb0d2642eb6918846c1f1c83fad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $98.76
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $48
- User PnL
- -$1.78
No position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $23
- User PnL
- -$21.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?Yes 96.3% 32 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No 3.7% 39 shares
- Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?Yes 96.8% 30 shares
- Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?No 93.6% 23 shares
- Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 5.2% 35 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 96.2% 29 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No 97.9% 78 shares
- Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.7% 139 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes 3.7% 101 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes 6.5% 27 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?Yes 0.7% 86 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?Yes 2.7% 86 shares