Polymarket Trader

0xFDb5b52106DD409715A466d7481d07A2A5c814bF-1782830016396

0xfdb5b52106dd409715a466d7481d07a2a5c814bf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.45
Realized PnL: $1.15
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $345.95
Potential profit: $345.43
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C or below on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $284.4
Potential profit: $284.4
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.93
Potential payout: $27.89
Potential profit: $24.96
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$2.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.76
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 3?

Yes 17.9% 27.89 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 3?

Yes 1.4% 345.95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Up 51% 1.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Up 51% 1.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Up 84% 1.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Up 17% 5.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Down 20% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Up 51% 1.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Up 51% 9.8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C or below on July 1?

Yes 0.4% 284.4 shares
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

No 13% 76.92 shares