Polymarket Trader

wanwas

0xfdc0ef32475fcb825c76a942d0731eabc1651851

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $654.15
Realized PnL: $233.74
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $588.81
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $139.04

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.87
Potential profit: $500.87
User PnL: -$148.34

Yes position

Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $3.06
Potential payout: $359.51
Potential profit: $356.46
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$36.13

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $35.31
Potential payout: $331.58
Potential profit: $296.27
Multiplier: 9.39x
User PnL: -$15.41

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.8
Potential profit: $127.8
User PnL: -$7.54

Yes position

Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $25.87
Potential payout: $123.17
Potential profit: $97.3
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$4.13

Yes position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $123.01
Potential profit: $121.9
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$12.1

Yes position

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.8
Potential profit: $110.8
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.9
Potential profit: $85.9
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.26
Potential profit: $59.26
User PnL: -$29.63

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.52
Potential profit: $53.52
User PnL: -$11.24

Yes position

Will Pope Leo visit Spain first?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.07
Potential profit: $49.07
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US forces in Iran before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $27.27
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will OpenAI accuse Microsoft of violating antitrust before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.59
Potential profit: $20.59
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: July

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Spain snap election called in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.81

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.56

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.39

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.73

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.91

Yes position

Israel strike on Iran on June 24?

Ends Jun 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.81

No position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.37

No position

Will Trump say "Elon" this week?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Alcaraz position

French Open: Musetti vs. Alcaraz

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.64

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Israel invade Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Elon / Musk" during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.45

Yes position

Will Iran declare war on Israel before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Uranium" during his NATO speech?

Ends Jun 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.07

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.65

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

No position

Israel strike on Iran on June 24?

Ends Jun 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.8% 72.46 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.9% 93.53 shares
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?

Yes 24.4% 123.17 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Yes 45% 0.81 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 21% 53.52 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Yes 15% 66.67 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 96.5% 50 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 96.85 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Yes 19% 36.84 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Yes 35% 94.29 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?

Yes 59% 96.49 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?

Yes 55% 72.73 shares