Polymarket Trader

MikahVargas

0xfdcd6c9bb21acbb2699fde2ba9870987a97cf644

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $76.99
Realized PnL: $398.21
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.46
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$34.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$42.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $74.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $25.55
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $36.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $95
User PnL: -$11.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $95
User PnL: -$18.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $95
User PnL: -$10.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $95
User PnL: -$25.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$31.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$30.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.99
Potential profit: $89.99
User PnL: -$6.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$8.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$1.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

No position

Will Rizo Velovic be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Crude Oil all time high by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 36-37°F on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 45°F or below on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be 65°F or below on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 51°F or below on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 37.8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 48.5% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 5.6% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or below on June 15?

No 99.8% 25.05 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 44% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 7.1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 42.1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 12.1% 95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 19.9% 95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 27% 95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 21.3% 95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 11.2% 30 shares