Polymarket Trader

tazpinball

0xfdd4fa5679207d154d03fb991fe6f7bd1466f651

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $36.16
Realized PnL: $68.23
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $9.06
Potential payout: $953.85
Potential profit: $944.78
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.11
Potential profit: $170.11
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $17.62
Potential payout: $155.95
Potential profit: $138.33
Multiplier: 8.85x
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the DHS shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $3.72
Potential payout: $39.12
Potential profit: $35.4
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.28

No position

Will the DHS shutdown last 10 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $5.76
Potential payout: $29.55
Potential profit: $23.79
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.78
Potential profit: $28.78
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.34
Potential profit: $21.34
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.4
Potential profit: $9.4
User PnL: -$2

Patriots position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $1.49
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kash Patel attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05
Potential profit: $1.05
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.22

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.13

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.52

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.69

Yes position

Will Trump say 'Greenland' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ukraine" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Venezuela" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.2% 25 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 19% 5.26 shares
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes 8.9% 11.24 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 20% 10 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 21% 14.29 shares
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes 9% 55.56 shares
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1% 500 shares
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes 9% 55.56 shares
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes 8.9% 22.49 shares
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1% 100 shares