Polymarket Trader

falthArion

0xfde0c30c9762e1cb6588d024f9366a25dfd7c26f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $140.42
Realized PnL: $187.6
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $53.11
Potential payout: $53.11
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.11

Sabres position

Sabres vs. Bruins

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $24.3
Potential payout: $24.3
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $12.39

Celtics position

Celtics vs. 76ers

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.38
Potential payout: $20.38
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.5

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.2
Potential profit: $16.2
User PnL: -$9.88

No position

Crude Oil all time high by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15.2
Potential payout: $15.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.91
Potential profit: $12.91
User PnL: -$4.91

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $10.5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.57

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.01
Potential payout: $7.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.01
Potential payout: $6.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $3.93
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.65

Crashers position

Counter-Strike: Crashers vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Group Stage

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.91

Oilers position

Ducks vs. Oilers

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.26

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

No position

Will Elon say "Saudi" during Saudi-US investment forum on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.33

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 9–16?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.78

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

Yes position

Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers during MAFIATHON 3?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 78°F or higher on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 19?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will Elon tweet between 850 and 899 times September 1–30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?

Ends May 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Solana above $155 on October 25?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Up 49% 3.93 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?

No 99.9% 7.01 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?

No 99.9% 6.01 shares
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?

No 98.7% 15.2 shares
Sabres vs. Bruins

Sabres 49% 24.3 shares
Celtics vs. 76ers

Celtics 73% 20.38 shares
Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Cavaliers 61% 16.2 shares
Lakers vs. Rockets

Lakers 38% 12.91 shares
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers

Spurs 66% 10.5 shares
Ducks vs. Oilers

Oilers 63% 30.09 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

No 99.8% 53.11 shares
Ducks vs. Utah

Utah 55% 26.78 shares