Polymarket Trader

undersoless

0xfde908115953b459e48f5cd1ce5185834e52cc30

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $303.2
Realized PnL: $1.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $889.61
Potential profit: $889.61
User PnL: -$20.68

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $579.96
Potential profit: $579.96
User PnL: -$20.18

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $492
Potential profit: $492
User PnL: -$255.84

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $468.41
Potential profit: $468.41
User PnL: -$167.3

Yes position

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $465
Potential profit: $465
User PnL: -$14.03

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420
Potential profit: $420
User PnL: -$4.62

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330.33
Potential profit: $330.33
User PnL: -$6.21

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: July

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $26.44
Potential payout: $311
Potential profit: $284.57
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$87.36

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $276.76
Potential payout: $296
Potential profit: $19.24
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $91.78

No position

Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $293.51
Potential profit: $293.51
User PnL: -$148.87

No position

Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205
Potential profit: $205
User PnL: -$9.66

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $203.5
Potential profit: $203.5
User PnL: -$6.31

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4.2

No position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.46
Potential profit: $139.46
User PnL: -$7.4

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $18.75
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Major US official out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.64
Potential profit: $16.64
User PnL: -$3.49

No position

Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.54
Potential profit: $10.54
User PnL: -$6.17

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.12
Potential profit: $5.12
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$0.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.09

No position

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.23

No position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.03

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.22

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $184.67

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.97

Yes position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $81.04

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.83

No position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.53

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.03

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.21

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.35

No position

Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.25

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.28

No position

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.3

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.65

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.73

No position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.6

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.75

No position

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.3

No position

Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.92

No position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.88

No position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.53

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Nothing Ever Happens: July

Something 16.3% 50 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 85% 50 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: July

Something 17% 55 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 84% 55 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 69% 30 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 75% 15 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: July

Something 32.5% 30 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: July

Something 37% 89 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 62% 15 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: July

Something 37% 15 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 62% 94 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 62% 202 shares