Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $39.65
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$60.35
Polymarket Trader
ololoshka.d
0xfdea0652bcaa7f57f33bd7e2ed3e3be239e01c07
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $437.34
- Realized PnL
- $200.58
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $7.09
- Potential payout
- $616.87
- Potential profit
- $609.77
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$2.91
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $92.91
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $361.64
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$7.09
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $60.42
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $356.25
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$39.58
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $350
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $7.56
- Potential payout
- $290.76
- Potential profit
- $283.2
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$13.66
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $262.24
- Potential profit
- $260.54
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $32
- Potential payout
- $255.97
- Potential profit
- $223.97
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $230
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $84.52
- Potential payout
- $213.99
- Potential profit
- $129.46
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$15.48
Yes position
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $7.05
- Potential payout
- $146.98
- Potential profit
- $139.92
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- -$2.95
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.18
- Potential profit
- $142.18
- User PnL
- -$35.21
Yes position
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $6.28
- Potential payout
- $114.26
- Potential profit
- $107.97
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$3.72
Yes position
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $18.89
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $52.54
- Multiplier
- 3.78x
- User PnL
- $8.89
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $9.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $40.75
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.3% 290.76 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes 9.3% 1,071.62 shares
- Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.9% 262.24 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 250 shares
- Anthropic acquired before 2027?Yes 6.8% 146.98 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 19.5% 255.97 shares
- Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Yes 14% 71.43 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 15% 66.67 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?No 24.8% 142.18 shares
- Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?Yes 8.8% 114.26 shares
- Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No 46.7% 213.99 shares