Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $121.56
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$6.56
Polymarket Trader
0xfDf679E42B8D1D4E78EdbD6Bb9a725159b7698b4-1783703641939
0xfdf679e42b8d1d4e78edbd6bb9a725159b7698b4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $62.88
- Realized PnL
- -$2.88
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.6%
- Current value
- $54.26
- Potential payout
- $92.59
- Potential profit
- $38.33
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $22.37
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.8%
- Current value
- $5.18
- Potential payout
- $24.97
- Potential profit
- $19.79
- Multiplier
- 4.82x
- User PnL
- $0.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.68
Over position
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
Yes position
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
N
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Yes position
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.46
Over position
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.07
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes 22.5% 24.98 shares
- Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes 63% 5 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-11?No 46.5% 12.49 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 8% 125 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes 38.2% 3.35 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes 21.5% 7.3 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes 75% 7.71 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes 58% 11.76 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes 49% 12.47 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?No 51.1% 5.29 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?No 65% 3.43 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?No 65% 1.86 shares