Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.68K
- Potential profit
- $2.68K
- User PnL
- -$18.77
Polymarket Trader
davidobot
0xfdf6c1b60e14722472672f138370d8e0b6ec3db3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $81.35
- Realized PnL
- -$73.46
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- User PnL
- -$100
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 25, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Current value
- $80.44
- Potential payout
- $860.28
- Potential profit
- $779.84
- Multiplier
- 10.70x
- User PnL
- -$7.86
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $57.91
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$26.19
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$47.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.7% 58.82 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 25, 2026?Yes 1.2% 26.6 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 25, 2026?Yes 10.3% 886.88 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 10% 238.09 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 5.8% 909.09 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 6.1% 1,639.34 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 21% 238.1 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 11% 909.09 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes 3.8% 2,631.58 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes 0.7% 2,681.43 shares