Polymarket Trader

Polyticks

0xfdfca60e7aebfc50dfdc40c27987970aa9c1288c

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $51.98K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $19.58K
Potential payout: $23.74K
Potential profit: $4.15K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $9.07K

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $9.98K
Potential payout: $10.57K
Potential profit: $592.03
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $3.55K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $6.45K
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $4.02K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $485.03

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $2.88K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $375

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $3.42K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $579.99
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $699.98

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $2.51K
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$925.97

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$360

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$1.32K

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $892.22
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$90.42

No position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $897.58
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$59.84

No position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $884.97
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $614.98
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $15

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.3%
Current value: $302.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $697.5
Multiplier: 3.31x
User PnL: -$346.43

Yes position

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $384.98
Potential payout: $999.95
Potential profit: $614.97
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$95

Yes position

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $692
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $108
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $140

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $709.72
Potential payout: $717.98
Potential profit: $8.26
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $149.7

No position

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $435
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $65
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2.56
Potential payout: $284.05
Potential profit: $281.49
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$76.98

Yes position

California voter ID referendum passes?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $70.64
Potential payout: $168.18
Potential profit: $97.54
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $35.54

No position

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $104.64
Potential payout: $126.07
Potential profit: $21.43
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $49.17

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $57.73
Potential payout: $81.31
Potential profit: $23.58
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $6.5

No position

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $2.97
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.03
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$7.03

Yes position

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $6.76
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

Up 99.9% 1,250 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?

Down 45% 16.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Down 27.5% 600 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Up 43.5% 459.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Up 36.2% 276.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Up 34.8% 287.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Up 32.6% 306.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Down 58.8% 169.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Down 58.4% 171.1 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?

Down 50% 600 shares
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights

Golden Knights 95% 8,000 shares
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights

Avalanche 52% 3,000 shares