0xfe01652A80C65019a494D59741FBcd44fd6987D3-1781888517747

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $719.15
Potential profit: $718.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$38.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $652.03
Potential profit: $651.71
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$163.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $450.76
Potential profit: $448.51
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$198.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $372.75
Potential payout: $378.81
Potential profit: $6.06
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $249.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $6.85
Potential payout: $351.38
Potential profit: $344.52
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$71.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $307.67
Potential payout: $307.98
Potential profit: $0.31
User PnL: $187.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $255.84
Potential profit: $255.72
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$48.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $115.09
Potential payout: $255.76
Potential profit: $140.67
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $255.35
Potential profit: $255.22
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$64.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $126.51
Potential payout: $248.05
Potential profit: $121.55
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $6.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $64.06
Potential payout: $203.35
Potential profit: $139.3
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $26.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 24?

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $126.82
Potential payout: $199.72
Potential profit: $72.9
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $36.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $170.79
Potential profit: $170.7
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$28.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $80.66
Potential payout: $159.71
Potential profit: $79.06
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $10.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $83.12
Potential payout: $156.84
Potential profit: $73.71
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $29.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $151.77
Potential payout: $152.3
Potential profit: $0.53
User PnL: $86.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $113
Potential profit: $112.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $112.23
Potential profit: $112.17
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$13.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $110.44
Potential profit: $110.38
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $108.87
Potential profit: $108.82
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 25.8%
Current value: $26.06
Potential payout: $101.22
Potential profit: $75.15
Multiplier: 3.88x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 24?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $8.32
Potential payout: $97.85
Potential profit: $89.53
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$22.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $57.7
Potential payout: $96.98
Potential profit: $39.28
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $92.52
Potential profit: $92.47
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 24?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $36.1
Potential payout: $86.98
Potential profit: $50.89
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $17.12
Potential payout: $83.51
Potential profit: $66.39
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$8.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $64.7
Potential profit: $64.66
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $18.91
Potential payout: $55.61
Potential profit: $36.71
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $45.73
Potential profit: $45.7
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $44.3
Potential profit: $44.17
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$7.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $35.68
Potential payout: $35.7
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $16.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $34.71
Potential profit: $30.55
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 24?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $8.16
Potential payout: $31.99
Potential profit: $23.84
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $29.65
Potential profit: $27.43
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.04
Potential payout: $29.06
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $13.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $14.88
Potential payout: $26.33
Potential profit: $11.46
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $25.87
Potential profit: $25.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $5.46
Potential payout: $22.3
Potential profit: $16.84
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $6.35
Potential payout: $17.63
Potential profit: $11.28
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$2.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $6.16
Potential payout: $15.6
Potential profit: $9.44
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $4.43
Potential payout: $13.42
Potential profit: $8.99
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $9.05
Potential payout: $9.73
Potential profit: $0.68
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $5.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $5.84
Potential payout: $5.86
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $3.98
Potential profit: $2.05
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $2.92
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 59%
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 79.3%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 52%
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 5.6%
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 23?