Polymarket Trader

viltalik

0xfe0ceadac05726b020c3b5f914cf276d506dc823

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $368.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.12K
Potential profit: $6.12K
User PnL: -$254.9

Yes position

Will Kanye West win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.12K
Potential profit: $6.12K
User PnL: -$254.9

Yes position

Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.12K
Potential profit: $6.12K
User PnL: -$254.9

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.12K
Potential profit: $6.12K
User PnL: -$254.9

Yes position

Will Chris Christie win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.12K
Potential profit: $6.12K
User PnL: -$254.9

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.12K
Potential profit: $6.12K
User PnL: -$254.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.71K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.22K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.57K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.03K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.35K

Yes position

Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.92K

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.51K

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.12K

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.48K

Yes position

1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.22K

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08K

No position

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8K

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.25K

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

No position

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

No position

Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Jul 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $983.12

No position

Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $946.58

Republican position

Was the shooter a Democrat or Republican?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $749.88

No position

Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $685.43

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $658.1

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $639.41

No position

Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?

Ends Jul 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $627.83

No position

Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $610.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Yes 95.3% 69,218.27 shares
Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?

Yes 98% 63.62 shares
Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?

Yes 97% 6,512.79 shares
Will Biden finish his term?

Yes 90% 1,643.11 shares
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?

Yes 90% 100 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

No 0.9% 199,973.21 shares
Will RFK Jr. win 1-2% of the popular vote?

Yes 0.3% 23,538.46 shares
Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?

Yes 96% 10,259.3 shares
Will RFK Jr. win 3-4% of the popular vote?

Yes 0.6% 19,578.46 shares
Will RFK Jr. win 2-3% of the popular vote?

Yes 4.1% 23,538.46 shares
Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?

Yes 72.2% 2,000 shares
Will RFK Jr. win 3-4% of the popular vote?

Yes 1.7% 3,960 shares