No position
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $92.4
- Potential payout
- $94
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Polymarket Trader
four3
0xfe25d25bd6fc2a5e7b60a64afca4478959b5acb5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $108.1
- Realized PnL
- $527.02
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $12.75
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $37.24
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Y
Yes position
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $77.5B by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $2.72
- Potential payout
- $22.65
- Potential profit
- $19.93
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 29 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $15.01
- Potential profit
- $14.78
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $145.58
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $109.94
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.25
No position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Fox interview on Wednesday?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.9
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.9
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.42
Senate position
Which chamber will move first on a funding bill?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.05
No position
Will Trump say "America" or "US" 7+ times during dinner with Dutch royals?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.67
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
No position
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during dinner with Dutch royals?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
No position
Will Trump disparage Zohran Mamdani on Friday?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.74
No position
Will Trump and Mohammed bin Salman not shake hands on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.34
No position
Will Trump say "Amsterdam" during dinner with Dutch royals?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.68
No position
Will Apple announce a touchscreen MacBook during the WWDC 2026 keynote?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.23
No position
Will Trump say "Blockade" during Fox interview on Wednesday?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
No position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $77.5B by July 31?Yes 6% 136 shares
- Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $77.5B by July 31?No 89.3% 201 shares
- Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $77.5B by July 31?No 81% 20 shares
- Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $77.5B by July 31?No 80.8% 55 shares
- Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by July 31?No 85.4% 226 shares
- Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by July 31?No 81.9% 61.58 shares
- Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $77.5B by July 31?Yes 18.1% 232.65 shares
- Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $77.5B by July 31?Yes 11% 160 shares
- Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $77.5B by July 31?Yes 9.7% 507.3 shares
- Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by July 31?Yes 28% 69.83 shares
- Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by July 31?Yes 28% 27.55 shares
- Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by July 31?Yes 27% 47.56 shares