No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $11.32
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $1.06
Polymarket Trader
icedragon
@nichliu
0xfe355a01c084a35a6b09da19a40c8528234fe17f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.56
- Realized PnL
- $100.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $10.94
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 87°F or below on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $9.96
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.95
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $5.61
- Potential payout
- $5.66
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 22 be between 2,700,000 and 2,900,000?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.08
Grizzlies position
Clippers vs. Grizzlies: 1H Moneyline
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
76ers position
76ers vs. Hawks: 1H Moneyline
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C or higher on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 26 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 8 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 9 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 7?Yes 17% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 7?Yes 47% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be 87°F or below on July 7?No 94% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 7?No 90% 5.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 7?No 90% 5.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 5?Yes 12% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 5?Yes 28% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 5?Yes 27% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 4?Yes 50% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 4?Yes 15% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 5?Yes 65% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 4?Yes 39% 5 shares