Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- User PnL
- -$6.1
Polymarket Trader
GUIGS
@GuigsLuke
0xfe35ff861e7018cb5965b807c493372eb9866789
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.18
- Realized PnL
- $1.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Scott McTominay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$7
Wake Forest Demon Deacons position
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.98
- User PnL
- -$1
Maja Chwalinska position
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $935.78
- Potential profit
- $935.78
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $778.55
- Potential profit
- $778.55
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $590
- Potential profit
- $590
- User PnL
- -$10.03
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $588.78
- Potential profit
- $588.78
- User PnL
- -$17.98
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Jakub Mensik position
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $523.17
- Potential profit
- $523.17
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $476.9
- Potential profit
- $476.9
- User PnL
- -$18.89
No position
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $444
- Potential profit
- $444
- User PnL
- -$5.8
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $420
- Potential profit
- $420
- User PnL
- -$10.08
Yes position
Will Maria Sakkari win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400.97
- Potential profit
- $400.97
- User PnL
- -$8.21
Yes position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $372.83
- Potential profit
- $370.78
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$36.88
Yes position
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goals
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Quentin Halys position
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $308.89
- Potential profit
- $308.89
- User PnL
- -$15
Jesper de Jong position
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $291.67
- Potential profit
- $291.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Daria Kasatkina position
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $273.1
- Potential profit
- $273.1
- User PnL
- -$15
Jil Teichmann position
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260.83
- Potential profit
- $260.83
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $254.48
- Potential profit
- $254.35
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.87
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Sweden?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.25
Juan Manuel Cerundolo position
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.53
Joao Fonseca position
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.41
Matteo Arnaldi position
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.93
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83
Diana Shnaider position
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.33
Diane Parry position
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.84
Anna Kalinskaya position
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.33
Yes position
Will Trump say "China" during Monday press conference?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.82
Yes position
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.82
Elina Svitolina position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.41
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.43
Jil Teichmann position
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.5
Over position
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.48
Miami Hurricanes position
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.26
Yes position
Will Egypt vs. Spain end in a draw?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.45
Flavio Cobolli position
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.4
Yes position
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.15
Yes position
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Jakub Mensik position
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.9% 239.5 shares
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over 39.5% 10.13 shares
- Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsYes 8.7% 57.47 shares
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsYes 8% 62.5 shares
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsYes 38% 26.32 shares
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes 24% 20.83 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 58.1% 40 shares
- Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsYes 38% 26.32 shares
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over 39.5% 25.32 shares
- England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes 53% 28.3 shares
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists AND France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.515.2% 31.23 shares
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsYes 2.9% 103.45 shares