Polymarket Trader

macister83

0xfe462bfc4d6a45bfc7bf678f4acc7c2c4adfcb39

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $50.88
Realized PnL: $471.42
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.25K
Potential profit: $14.25K
User PnL: -$69.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.75K
Potential profit: $4.75K
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.86K
User PnL: -$5.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$7.16

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 24?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $374.99
Potential profit: $374.99
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $293.77
Potential profit: $293.77
User PnL: -$2.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272
Potential profit: $272
User PnL: -$2.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.23
Potential profit: $259.23
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 23?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.91
Potential profit: $164.91
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.65
Potential profit: $126.65
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.34
Potential profit: $118.34
User PnL: -$15.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.89
Potential profit: $98.89
User PnL: -$12.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.33
Potential profit: $62.33
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.81
Potential profit: $42.81
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.32
Potential profit: $39.32
User PnL: -$9.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.01
Potential profit: $38.01
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 22?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.78
Potential profit: $33.78
User PnL: -$7.09

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.48
Potential profit: $33.48
User PnL: -$0.94

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $23.21
Potential payout: $29.76
Potential profit: $6.55
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$1.79

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $27.67
Potential payout: $28.35
Potential profit: $0.68
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.05
Potential profit: $27.05
User PnL: -$5.08

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.9
Potential profit: $23.9
User PnL: -$14.58

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.39
Potential profit: $22.39
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.61

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.67

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.34

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.45

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.69

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.57

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 26?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.07

No position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.85

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.83

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.32

No position

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.32

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99

No position

Will MrBeast's latest video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 5?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

No position

Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.24

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.19

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.39

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

No 41.3% 15.5 shares
Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

No 80% 15.63 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

No 88.2% 28.35 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

No 84% 29.76 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 99% 0.14 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 74% 36.23 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

No 96.9% 5.95 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

No 83.8% 7.96 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

No 88% 9.81 shares
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

No 87% 15.15 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 88% 33.78 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

No 88% 35.21 shares