Polymarket Trader

DOG-UndressedVersion

0xfe495635aad93a476355c5ce38ae0af530197a4c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.82K
Realized PnL: $36.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $3.37K
Potential payout: $250K
Potential profit: $246.62K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $125.25

Yes position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $20.27
Potential payout: $13.51K
Potential profit: $13.49K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$6.76

Yes position

Will Vance Bostic win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$2.78K

Yes position

Will Chi Ossé win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$1.56K

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $8.98K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 23m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.82K
Potential profit: $3.82K
User PnL: -$3.82

Yes position

Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $3.35K
User PnL: -$3.35

Yes position

Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$12.28

No position

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $190.01
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $10.31

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $270
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$180

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.73K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $270
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $90

No position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$259.8

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $808.49
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $291.5
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $108

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $976.46
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $51.39
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $241.55

No position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $955.7
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $45.03
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$26.75

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $21.4
Potential payout: $999.97
Potential profit: $978.57
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$9.21

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $27.72
Potential payout: $866.13
Potential profit: $838.41
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$159.81

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $43.2
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $456.79
Multiplier: 11.57x
User PnL: -$17.8

No position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 9?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $421.41
Potential profit: $421.41
User PnL: -$23.49

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $311.36
Potential payout: $333
Potential profit: $21.64
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $91.58

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $202.5
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $47.5
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$15

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$20

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $249.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $0.63
User PnL: $21.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.44K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07K

Yes position

Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9K

No position

Will Vance Bostic win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31K

Yes position

Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $1.16K

No position

Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

No position

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

No position

Will Chi Ossé win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $999.53

No position

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $985.97

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $972.81

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $832.56

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $753.76

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $715.68

No position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $700.9

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $607.81

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $561.79

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $545.29

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $535.61

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $503

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 92.4% 1,000 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 19% 2,500.03 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 19% 912.97 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 67% 199.99 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 26% 295 shares
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Yes 99.9% 2,400 shares
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Yes 94.5% 1,500 shares
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Yes 94.7% 100 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 26% 11,291.19 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 14.7% 1,154.03 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 249,999.97 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Yes 0.3% 143.73 shares