Polymarket Trader

0xfe4a3Fafa9Eb0bCB2093c1FB90Cc9C2463376019-1774228820138

0xfe4a3fafa9eb0bcb2093c1fb90cc9c2463376019

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $136.97
Realized PnL: $569.45
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.32
Potential profit: $142.32
User PnL: -$15.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $136.97
Potential payout: $137.04
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $21.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $5.17
User PnL: -$2.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Purdue Boilermakers position

Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 15°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 16°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 17°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 14°C or below on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 18°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 84.6% 137.04 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 10.9% 142.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Up 51% 20.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Down 52% 20.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Down 53% 15.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Up 53% 5.17 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 99.6% 112.54 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?

Yes 97.3% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 29% 134.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 55.3% 153.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

No 99.9% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

No 99.9% 5 shares