Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Current value
- $635.93
- Potential payout
- $2.81K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 4.42x
- User PnL
- -$29.06
Polymarket Trader
0xFE5b32537Ef196Dc509D437B0C499554949485e1-1764371241640
0xfe5b32537ef196dc509d437b0c499554949485e1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $936.49
- Realized PnL
- $319.36
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.56K
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $43.11
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$56.89
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $7.45
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$22.55
No position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$115
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $34.05
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$5.95
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $10.57
- Potential payout
- $960.66
- Potential profit
- $950.09
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$89.43
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $738.93
- Potential profit
- $738.93
- User PnL
- -$126.25
Yes position
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.57
- Potential payout
- $648.93
- Potential profit
- $645.36
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$16.43
Yes position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $515.04
- Potential profit
- $515.04
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $201.81
- Potential payout
- $463.93
- Potential profit
- $262.12
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$48.71
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $455.46
- Potential profit
- $455.46
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $294.12
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.05
- Potential profit
- $227.05
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $193.92
- Potential profit
- $193.92
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $192.31
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $182.53
- Potential profit
- $182.53
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $181.82
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $172.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $517.34
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.75
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.16
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.55
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- $22.08
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.41
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.24x
- User PnL
- $21.34
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.46
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- $7.11
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- $5.46
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$5.55
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.37
Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$9.09
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.48
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$27.27
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$28.94
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$29.41
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$36.36
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- -$41.54
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$61.09
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$110.22
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$127.08
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$332.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 10.4% 960.66 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 43.1% 463.93 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes 84% 130.28 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes 85% 130.28 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?Yes 1.8% 1,111.47 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Yes 31.6% 94.95 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Yes 3.6% 833.46 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 34% 294.12 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes 82% 61.11 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes 84% 95 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes 84% 138.88 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?Yes 52% 38.46 shares