Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $8.43K
- Potential profit
- $7.04K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$4.42K
Polymarket Trader
0xFE5EC2aD7D65692fd8798be3756a61128e248054-1766920406029
0xfe5ec2ad7d65692fd8798be3756a61128e248054
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.4K
- Realized PnL
- $28.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.94
- Potential payout
- $986
- Potential profit
- $982.06
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$119.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $913.47
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $845.41
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $803.67
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $661.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $628.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $535.41
Yes position
Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $504.65
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $498.74
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $466.44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $422.46
No position
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.98
No position
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.97
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.04
Yes position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $351.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 3PM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $347.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Yes 13.3% 786.38 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Yes 15% 96.14 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Yes 15% 179.05 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes 5.4% 67.26 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Yes 0.9% 538.42 shares
- Will Trump say "Hezbollah" this week? (April 19)Yes 58.9% 110 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Yes 10.6% 147.69 shares
- Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?Yes 99.2% 103.15 shares
- Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?Yes 15% 20 shares
- Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?Yes 15% 30 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?No 13% 19.3 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?No 13% 83.92 shares