Polymarket Trader

porsche911fund

0xfe6c976ef0805ff80fd0fad65115022404b969b7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.11K
Realized PnL: $39.4K
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.21K
Potential profit: $13.21K
User PnL: -$2.36K

Yes position

Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.51K
Potential profit: $11.51K
User PnL: -$399.99

No position

Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.34K
Potential profit: $11.34K
User PnL: -$50.98

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $9.14K
Multiplier: 5.90x
User PnL: $885.5

Yes position

Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $5.3K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$3K

Yes position

Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.67K
Potential profit: $4.67K
User PnL: -$300

No position

Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$435

No position

Romania No-Confidence vote passes?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.28K
Potential profit: $3.28K
User PnL: -$487.91

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.72K
Multiplier: 833.33x
User PnL: -$997.93

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $240
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $760
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $818.06
Potential profit: $818.06
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $564.1
Potential profit: $564.1
User PnL: -$220

Over position

Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $204.08
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.68
Potential profit: $188.68
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.9K

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.58K

No position

Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33K

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

No position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

No position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.85K

No position

Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $949.94

Yes position

Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $900

No position

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $861

No position

Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $758.7

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $636.48

No position

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82.4%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $581.75

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: $200

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.97

No position

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 59.5%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $186.33

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.48

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $106.31

No position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 73%
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $94.12

No position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $82.27

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 70.5%
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$0.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Spread: England (-1.5) AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

11% 4,264.73 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 58% 1,724.14 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?

Yes 10% 1,200 shares
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

42.6% 3,416.39 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 AND United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score

32.4% 1,496 shares
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance AND Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

33.9% 520.34 shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score AND Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

11% 1,763.01 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 56% 2,380.34 shares
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana? AND Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?

2.3% 4,223.91 shares
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

8.5% 1,144.94 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

19.5% 2,487.37 shares
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5 AND Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5

28.1% 1,046.54 shares