Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $2.99K
- Potential payout
- $4.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $639.56
Polymarket Trader
SirSiboppan
0xfe724b7046696c9c431ae331c3d29816b4799025
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.01K
- Realized PnL
- $1.94K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.98K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- User PnL
- -$255.87
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $14.08
- Potential payout
- $46.15
- Potential profit
- $32.08
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $2.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $982.89
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $503.66
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $129
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.83
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.38
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Multiplier
- 12.82x
- User PnL
- $50.72
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $20.9
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $20.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Multiplier
- 39.22x
- User PnL
- $2.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 37% 528.24 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 50% 157.16 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 48% 625 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes 71% 260.77 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes 76.7% 260.78 shares
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Yes 0.1% 50 shares
- Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?Yes 2.3% 24.2 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 41.6% 488.38 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 67% 885.28 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 66% 677.29 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 26% 46.15 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.4% 2,000 shares