No position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.3%
- Current value
- $53.07
- Potential payout
- $107.75
- Potential profit
- $54.68
- Multiplier
- 2.03x
- User PnL
- $10.79
Polymarket Trader
Duckner
0xfe86013879c48fa290a22ab28a0b884687cb5a99
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $53.07
- Realized PnL
- $695.35
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.94
No position
Trump formally nominates Matt Gaetz for AG?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.95
No position
SpaceX Starship launch by Nov 18?
Ends Nov 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.04
No position
Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.76
Yes position
Will Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.3
No position
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines in 2025?
Ends Nov 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.1
No position
Trump declares another national emergency by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.74
No position
X Money launch in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.84
No position
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.26
No position
Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
No position
Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Victory" three or more times in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Trump say "Border" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Global heat increase between 1.25°C and 1.27°C for 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
2024 November hottest on record?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Isar Aerospace successful orbital launch in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Discord IPO before 2027?No 39.1% 82.47 shares
- Discord IPO before 2027?No 39.6% 25.28 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?No 5% 997.15 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETDown 26% 34.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETDown 25% 35.68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETUp 42% 13.59 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETDown 9.7% 1,608.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETDown 48.8% 379.73 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETUp 13.1% 663.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETUp 14% 5.95 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETUp 28.3% 316.6 shares